San Francisco, CA โ€” Rental Investment Analysis

๐Ÿ”ดPOORโ€” negative cash flow likely

Cap Rate

1.4%

Below average

Monthly Cash Flow

-$6,200

After all expenses

Price-to-Rent

26.9

Overpriced for rent

DSCR

0.21

Fails

๐Ÿ“Š Key Metrics

Median Home Price
$1,361,250
Average Rent (3BR)
$4,000/mo
Price-to-Rent Ratio
26.9(high)
1% Rule
0.31%(fails โ€” need 1%+)
Cash-on-Cash Return
-21.9%
Vacancy Rate
8.0%

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Strength

Assumptions Used

20% down, 7.000000000000001% rate, 30yr, 8% vacancy, 10% maintenance

Customize these numbers โ†’

๐Ÿ“ˆ Population Movement (Tax Year 2021โ†’2022)

Net Migration

-4,538 households

SHRINKING

Total Inflow

381,839

households moved in

Avg Income (New Residents)

$264,317

per household

Where they're coming from:

1.San Francisco Non-migrants, CA353,959 households ยท avg $270,540
2.Alameda, CA3,743 households ยท avg $167,670
3.San Mateo, CA3,666 households ยท avg $247,097
4.Santa Clara, CA3,290 households ยท avg $305,201
5.Los Angeles, CA1,906 households ยท avg $151,594

Where residents are leaving to:

1.San Francisco Non-migrants, CA353,959 households
2.San Mateo, CA4,913 households
3.Alameda, CA4,602 households
4.Contra Costa, CA2,513 households
5.Los Angeles, CA2,512 households

๐Ÿ’ก Net outflow may indicate weakening demand โ€” but can mean lower prices and higher cap rates.

๐Ÿ˜๏ธ Best Zip Codes in San Francisco for Investors

94105
Cap Rate: 3.3%Cash Flow: -$2,753/mo$1,079,018
94102
Cap Rate: 3.0%Cash Flow: -$2,047/mo$733,210
94107
Cap Rate: 2.9%Cash Flow: -$2,913/mo$1,002,907

All Zip Codes in San Francisco

ZipCap RateCash FlowHome PriceRent (3BR)DSCR
941053.3%-$2,753$1,079,018$5,510/mo0.52
941023.0%-$2,047$733,210$3,530/mo0.48
941072.9%-$2,913$1,002,907$4,690/mo0.45
941582.7%-$4,016$1,298,031$5,770/mo0.42
941032.6%-$2,515$802,666$3,530/mo0.41
941112.4%-$3,602$1,088,105$4,550/mo0.38
941042.2%-$3,861$1,111,932$4,430/mo0.35
941242.1%-$3,287$917,215$3,530/mo0.33
941092.0%-$3,752$1,022,826$3,830/mo0.31
941081.8%-$3,898$1,007,904$3,530/mo0.27
941291.6%-$6,383$1,590,885$5,290/mo0.25
941341.5%-$4,328$1,071,723$3,530/mo0.24
949291.4%-$5,861$1,418,420$4,510/mo0.22
941121.4%-$4,775$1,138,144$3,530/mo0.21
941271.3%-$8,303$1,943,926$5,850/mo0.20
941151.2%-$6,340$1,460,369$4,270/mo0.18
941320.9%-$6,222$1,361,250$3,600/mo0.14
941100.9%-$6,200$1,349,591$3,530/mo0.14
941170.8%-$7,358$1,589,531$4,090/mo0.13
941310.8%-$7,765$1,675,512$4,300/mo0.13
941330.8%-$6,342$1,370,624$3,530/mo0.13
941160.8%-$7,333$1,574,856$4,000/mo0.13
941220.6%-$7,915$1,634,386$3,780/mo0.09
941140.5%-$9,381$1,911,561$4,270/mo0.08
941230.3%-$11,904$2,351,632$4,810/mo0.05
941210.3%-$8,819$1,738,109$3,530/mo0.05
941180.0%-$11,111$2,097,677$3,690/mo0.00