Riverside, CA — Rental Investment Analysis

🔴WEAKappreciation play only

Data: HUD FMR FY2024 + Zillow ZHVI April 2026 + Freddie Mac rates. Last updated June 2026.

Investment Summary

As of 2026, Riverside, CA has a 3.3% cap rate, indicating limited cash flow potential at current prices of $607,349 median.

Riverside is primarily an appreciation play with limited cash flow potential. At $607,349 median home price, Riverside requires significant capital. A 20% down payment alone is $121,469. With 3-bedroom rents around $2,890/month, the 3.3% cap rate tells the story. Cash flow is deeply negative at -$1,674/month with standard assumptions. This market requires appreciation to justify the investment.

At 0.51% on the 1% rule, rents are low relative to purchase prices. You'd need a significant discount from asking price to make the numbers work. DSCR of 0.52 is below 1.0, meaning rental income doesn't cover the mortgage. DSCR lenders will likely decline this market at current prices.

Bottom line: Consider Riverside only if you believe in long-term appreciation. The numbers don't support cash flow at today's prices and rates.

Data sources: HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024), Zillow Home Value Index (April 2026), Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Cap Rate

3.3%

Below average

Monthly Cash Flow

-$1,674

After all expenses

Price-to-Rent

16.4

Overpriced for rent

DSCR

0.52

Fails

Key Metrics

Median Home Price
$607,349
Average Rent (3BR)
$2,890/mo
Price-to-Rent Ratio
16.4(high)
1% Rule
0.51%(fails — need 1%+)
Cash-on-Cash Return
-13.4%
Vacancy Rate
8.0%

Market Strength

Unemployment Rate
5.3%(+1% vs national)
Rent Growth (YoY)
+2.9%(national avg)
Population Growth
-1.2% YoY

Assumptions Used

20% down, 6.52% rate, 30yr, 8% vacancy, 10% maintenance

Customize these numbers →

Property Tax Rate

0.71%

of assessed value (CA avg)

Median Income

$84,097

household (CA avg)

Rent-to-Income

41.2%

Stretched

Section 8 Max Rent

$2,890/mo

3BR voucher payment

CA Investor Climate

Landlord Friendly

3/10

State Income Tax

Has state tax

Property Tax

0.71% effective

Population Trend

-1.2% (3yr)

Population Movement (Tax Year 2021→2022)

Net Migration

+1,802 households

GROWING

Total Inflow

839,940

households moved in

Avg Income (New Residents)

$69,261

per household

Where they're coming from:

1.San Bernardino Non-migrants, CA796,652 households · avg $69,679
2.Los Angeles, CA20,446 households · avg $63,209
3.Riverside, CA10,126 households · avg $55,032
4.Orange, CA3,786 households · avg $76,968
5.San Diego, CA1,344 households · avg $60,829

Where residents are leaving to:

1.San Bernardino Non-migrants, CA796,652 households
2.Riverside, CA11,769 households
3.Los Angeles, CA11,102 households
4.Orange, CA3,291 households
5.Clark, NV1,786 households

Strong net inflow suggests growing rental demand and upward pressure on rents.

Best Zip Codes in Riverside for Investors

93562
Cap Rate: 29.3%Cash Flow: +$1,296/mo$68,032
92365
Cap Rate: 7.3%Cash Flow: +$179/mo$233,861
92317
Cap Rate: 5.0%Cash Flow: -$460/mo$385,769

All Zip Codes in Riverside

ZipCap RateCash FlowHome PriceRent (3BR)DSCR
9356229.3%+$1,296$68,032$2,140/mo4.58
923657.3%+$179$233,861$2,140/mo1.14
923175.0%-$460$385,769$2,610/mo0.78
925053.6%-$1,487$636,779$3,420/mo0.56
925083.5%-$1,839$768,172$4,070/mo0.55
925073.1%-$1,670$610,385$2,980/mo0.49
925043.0%-$1,678$604,314$2,920/mo0.48
925032.7%-$1,961$638,997$2,860/mo0.42
925012.6%-$1,777$564,194$2,470/mo0.41
925062.4%-$2,347$705,954$2,940/mo0.38