Raleigh, NC — Rental Investment Analysis

🔴WEAKappreciation play only

Data: HUD FMR FY2024 + Zillow ZHVI April 2026 + Freddie Mac rates. Last updated June 2026.

Investment Summary

As of 2026, Raleigh, NC has a 2.4% cap rate, indicating limited cash flow potential at current prices of $508,401 median.

Raleigh is primarily an appreciation play with limited cash flow potential. At $508,401 median home price, Raleigh requires significant capital. A 20% down payment alone is $101,680. With 3-bedroom rents around $2,090/month, the 2.4% cap rate tells the story. Cash flow is deeply negative at -$1,712/month with standard assumptions. This market requires appreciation to justify the investment.

At 0.41% on the 1% rule, rents are low relative to purchase prices. You'd need a significant discount from asking price to make the numbers work. DSCR of 0.37 is below 1.0, meaning rental income doesn't cover the mortgage. DSCR lenders will likely decline this market at current prices.

Bottom line: At current valuations, Raleigh doesn't make sense for rental investors focused on returns. Look at lower-cost markets unless you have specific local knowledge.

Data sources: HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024), Zillow Home Value Index (April 2026), Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Cap Rate

2.4%

Below average

Monthly Cash Flow

-$1,712

After all expenses

Price-to-Rent

20.3

Overpriced for rent

DSCR

0.37

Fails

Key Metrics

Median Home Price
$508,401
Average Rent (3BR)
$2,090/mo
Price-to-Rent Ratio
20.3(high)
1% Rule
0.41%(fails — need 1%+)
Cash-on-Cash Return
-17.6%
Vacancy Rate
8.0%

Market Strength

Unemployment Rate
3.7%(-0.6% vs national)
Rent Growth (YoY)
+2.9%(national avg)
Population Growth
+1.95% YoY

Assumptions Used

20% down, 6.52% rate, 30yr, 8% vacancy, 10% maintenance

Customize these numbers →

Property Tax Rate

0.77%

of assessed value (NC avg)

Median Income

$60,516

household (NC avg)

Rent-to-Income

41.4%

Stretched

Section 8 Max Rent

$2,090/mo

3BR voucher payment

NC Investor Climate

Landlord Friendly

7/10

State Income Tax

Has state tax

Property Tax

0.77% effective

Population Trend

+1.95% (3yr)

Population Movement (Tax Year 2021→2022)

Net Migration

+2,786 households

GROWING

Total Inflow

25,556

households moved in

Avg Income (New Residents)

$84,287

per household

Where they're coming from:

1.Cabarrus, NC2,173 households · avg $71,958
2.York, SC1,388 households · avg $70,630
3.Gaston, NC1,346 households · avg $56,897
4.Guilford, NC805 households · avg $55,779
5.Forsyth, NC498 households · avg $67,996

Where residents are leaving to:

1.Cabarrus, NC3,236 households
2.Gaston, NC2,604 households
3.York, SC2,272 households
4.Lancaster, SC986 households
5.Guilford, NC545 households

Strong net inflow suggests growing rental demand and upward pressure on rents.

Best Zip Codes in Raleigh for Investors

27604
Cap Rate: 4.0%Cash Flow: -$692/mo$343,658
27605
Cap Rate: 3.8%Cash Flow: -$876/mo$408,705
27610
Cap Rate: 3.8%Cash Flow: -$688/mo$319,851

All Zip Codes in Raleigh

ZipCap RateCash FlowHome PriceRent (3BR)DSCR
276044.0%-$692$343,658$1,980/mo0.62
276053.8%-$876$408,705$2,290/mo0.60
276103.8%-$688$319,851$1,790/mo0.60
276163.6%-$835$358,815$1,930/mo0.56
276173.6%-$1,044$443,292$2,370/mo0.56
276173.6%-$1,044$443,292$2,370/mo0.56
276062.7%-$1,349$441,136$1,980/mo0.43
276032.6%-$1,316$416,793$1,820/mo0.41
276012.4%-$1,712$508,401$2,090/mo0.37
276152.3%-$1,876$548,507$2,220/mo0.36
276122.2%-$2,006$577,519$2,300/mo0.35
276091.9%-$2,087$559,144$2,050/mo0.30
276131.9%-$2,237$597,200$2,180/mo0.30
276131.9%-$2,237$597,200$2,180/mo0.30
276141.5%-$2,792$686,791$2,240/mo0.24
276071.1%-$3,138$716,282$2,060/mo0.18
276080.2%-$5,342$1,040,925$2,040/mo0.04