Lawrence, NY — Rental Investment Analysis

🔴POORnegative cash flow likely

Data: HUD FMR FY2024 + Zillow ZHVI April 2026 + Freddie Mac rates. Last updated June 2026.

Investment Summary

As of 2026, Lawrence, NY has a -0.2% cap rate, indicating limited cash flow potential at current prices of $2,162,738 median.

Lawrence is very expensive relative to rents — expect negative cash flow. At $2,162,738 median home price, Lawrence requires significant capital. A 20% down payment alone is $432,547. With 3-bedroom rents around $3,180/month, the -0.2% cap rate tells the story. Cash flow is deeply negative at -$11,967/month with standard assumptions. This market requires appreciation to justify the investment.

At 0.15% on the 1% rule, rents are low relative to purchase prices. You'd need a significant discount from asking price to make the numbers work. DSCR of -0.04 is below 1.0, meaning rental income doesn't cover the mortgage. DSCR lenders will likely decline this market at current prices.

Bottom line: At current valuations, Lawrence doesn't make sense for rental investors focused on returns. Look at lower-cost markets unless you have specific local knowledge.

Data sources: HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024), Zillow Home Value Index (April 2026), Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Cap Rate

-0.2%

Below average

Monthly Cash Flow

-$11,967

After all expenses

Price-to-Rent

56.7

Overpriced for rent

DSCR

-0.04

Fails

Key Metrics

Median Home Price
$2,162,738
Average Rent (3BR)
$3,180/mo
Price-to-Rent Ratio
56.7(high)
1% Rule
0.15%(fails — need 1%+)
Cash-on-Cash Return
-28.9%
Vacancy Rate
8.0%

Market Strength

Unemployment Rate
4.6%(+0.3% vs national)
Rent Growth (YoY)
+2.9%(national avg)
Population Growth
-1.15% YoY

Assumptions Used

20% down, 6.52% rate, 30yr, 8% vacancy, 10% maintenance

Customize these numbers →

Property Tax Rate

1.62%

of assessed value (NY avg)

Median Income

$74,314

household (NY avg)

Rent-to-Income

51.3%

Stretched

Section 8 Max Rent

$3,180/mo

3BR voucher payment

NY Investor Climate

Landlord Friendly

3/10

State Income Tax

Has state tax

Property Tax

1.62% effective

Population Trend

-1.15% (3yr)

Best Zip Codes in Lawrence for Investors

11559
Cap Rate: -0.3%Cash Flow: -$11,967/mo$2,162,738
11559
Cap Rate: -0.3%Cash Flow: -$11,967/mo$2,162,738

All Zip Codes in Lawrence

ZipCap RateCash FlowHome PriceRent (3BR)DSCR
11559-0.3%-$11,967$2,162,738$3,180/mo-0.04
11559-0.3%-$11,967$2,162,738$3,180/mo-0.04