Fallbrook, CA — Rental Investment Analysis

🔴POORnegative cash flow likely

Data: HUD FMR FY2024 + Zillow ZHVI April 2026 + Freddie Mac rates. Last updated June 2026.

Investment Summary

As of 2026, Fallbrook, CA has a 1.5% cap rate, indicating limited cash flow potential at current prices of $890,788 median.

Fallbrook is very expensive relative to rents — expect negative cash flow. At $890,788 median home price, Fallbrook requires significant capital. A 20% down payment alone is $178,157. With 3-bedroom rents around $2,890/month, the 1.5% cap rate tells the story. Cash flow is deeply negative at -$3,633/month with standard assumptions. This market requires appreciation to justify the investment.

At 0.32% on the 1% rule, rents are low relative to purchase prices. You'd need a significant discount from asking price to make the numbers work. DSCR of 0.23 is below 1.0, meaning rental income doesn't cover the mortgage. DSCR lenders will likely decline this market at current prices.

Bottom line: At current valuations, Fallbrook doesn't make sense for rental investors focused on returns. Look at lower-cost markets unless you have specific local knowledge.

Data sources: HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024), Zillow Home Value Index (April 2026), Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Cap Rate

1.5%

Below average

Monthly Cash Flow

-$3,633

After all expenses

Price-to-Rent

25.7

Overpriced for rent

DSCR

0.23

Fails

Key Metrics

Median Home Price
$890,788
Average Rent (3BR)
$2,890/mo
Price-to-Rent Ratio
25.7(high)
1% Rule
0.32%(fails — need 1%+)
Cash-on-Cash Return
-21.3%
Vacancy Rate
8.0%

Market Strength

Unemployment Rate
5.3%(+1% vs national)
Rent Growth (YoY)
+2.9%(national avg)
Population Growth
-1.2% YoY

Assumptions Used

20% down, 6.52% rate, 30yr, 8% vacancy, 10% maintenance

Customize these numbers →

Property Tax Rate

0.71%

of assessed value (CA avg)

Median Income

$84,097

household (CA avg)

Rent-to-Income

41.2%

Stretched

Section 8 Max Rent

$2,890/mo

3BR voucher payment

CA Investor Climate

Landlord Friendly

3/10

State Income Tax

Has state tax

Property Tax

0.71% effective

Population Trend

-1.2% (3yr)

Best Zip Codes in Fallbrook for Investors

92028
Cap Rate: 1.5%Cash Flow: -$3,633/mo$890,788
92028
Cap Rate: 1.5%Cash Flow: -$3,633/mo$890,788

All Zip Codes in Fallbrook

ZipCap RateCash FlowHome PriceRent (3BR)DSCR
920281.5%-$3,633$890,788$2,890/mo0.23
920281.5%-$3,633$890,788$2,890/mo0.23