Berkeley, CA — Rental Investment Analysis

🔴POORnegative cash flow likely

Data: HUD FMR FY2024 + Zillow ZHVI April 2026 + Freddie Mac rates. Last updated June 2026.

Investment Summary

As of 2026, Berkeley, CA has a 0.7% cap rate, indicating limited cash flow potential at current prices of $1,312,392 median.

Berkeley is very expensive relative to rents — expect negative cash flow. At $1,312,392 median home price, Berkeley requires significant capital. A 20% down payment alone is $262,478. With 3-bedroom rents around $3,315/month, the 0.7% cap rate tells the story. Cash flow is deeply negative at -$6,245/month with standard assumptions. This market requires appreciation to justify the investment.

At 0.24% on the 1% rule, rents are low relative to purchase prices. You'd need a significant discount from asking price to make the numbers work. DSCR of 0.12 is below 1.0, meaning rental income doesn't cover the mortgage. DSCR lenders will likely decline this market at current prices.

Bottom line: At current valuations, Berkeley doesn't make sense for rental investors focused on returns. Look at lower-cost markets unless you have specific local knowledge.

Data sources: HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024), Zillow Home Value Index (April 2026), Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Cap Rate

0.7%

Below average

Monthly Cash Flow

-$6,245

After all expenses

Price-to-Rent

33.6

Overpriced for rent

DSCR

0.12

Fails

Key Metrics

Median Home Price
$1,312,392
Average Rent (3BR)
$3,315/mo
Price-to-Rent Ratio
33.6(high)
1% Rule
0.24%(fails — need 1%+)
Cash-on-Cash Return
-24.6%
Vacancy Rate
8.0%

Market Strength

Unemployment Rate
5.3%(+1% vs national)
Rent Growth (YoY)
+2.9%(national avg)
Population Growth
-1.2% YoY

Assumptions Used

20% down, 6.52% rate, 30yr, 8% vacancy, 10% maintenance

Customize these numbers →

Property Tax Rate

0.71%

of assessed value (CA avg)

Median Income

$84,097

household (CA avg)

Rent-to-Income

47.3%

Stretched

Section 8 Max Rent

$3,315/mo

3BR voucher payment

CA Investor Climate

Landlord Friendly

3/10

State Income Tax

Has state tax

Property Tax

0.71% effective

Population Trend

-1.2% (3yr)

Best Zip Codes in Berkeley for Investors

94710
Cap Rate: 1.6%Cash Flow: -$3,963/mo$1,003,007
94708
Cap Rate: 1.0%Cash Flow: -$7,305/mo$1,635,194
94704
Cap Rate: 1.0%Cash Flow: -$5,183/mo$1,151,180

All Zip Codes in Berkeley

ZipCap RateCash FlowHome PriceRent (3BR)DSCR
947101.6%-$3,963$1,003,007$3,410/mo0.26
947081.0%-$7,305$1,635,194$4,530/mo0.16
947041.0%-$5,183$1,151,180$3,140/mo0.15
947030.8%-$6,050$1,294,408$3,260/mo0.12
947020.7%-$5,600$1,182,679$2,890/mo0.11
947090.6%-$6,440$1,330,376$3,080/mo0.09
947070.2%-$9,234$1,786,396$3,420/mo0.03
94705-0.1%-$10,765$2,007,478$3,370/mo-0.01